Cronaca di una giornata qualsiasi in officina. Cliente amareggiato, con la sua specialissima di marca molto nota pseudo-americana in carbonio, montata Ultegra, costata una discreta cifra: ha problemi di sterzo. Da quasi sempre. Siamo andati all’origine del problema: ed ecco venire a galla un dettaglio. Gli alloggiamenti per lo sterzo non sono previsti da questo telaio in carbonio: per tanto, nel tubo sterzo, il costruttore ha adottato la soluzione di inserire dei supporti ai cuscinetti che si fissano all’interno del telaio.

sterzo2E’ un dettaglio da poco? In realtà questa è una soluzione che, in genere, si adotta su bici di medio/basso livello. Si tratta di una soluzione del costruttore per economizzare: il cliente mi fa monoscocca più economici, con uno stampo meno dettagliato e via… Lo sterzo lo mettiamo con una soluzione extra, “usa e getta”, più economica: così, chi costruisce e vende il telaio ha più margini di guadagno e il cliente finale non lo sa, è convinto di aver comprato una super bici, perché “è di marca”. Fiero della sua specialissima in carbonio monoscocca, si accorge solo dopo un po’ che lo sterzo non funziona bene: certo, perché questa soluzione economica, usura molto più rapidamente sfere e cuscinetti. Uno sterzo così avrà problemi di frequente: sempre.

Con questo episodio si vuole soltanto fare riflettere i clienti, gli appassionati di bici, quelli che “l’ho trovata su internet ed è un affare”. L’esperienza artigiana conta ancora molto, nel costruire biciclette di qualità: chi ha a cuore il rapporto di fiducia col cliente finale, queste soluzioni “furbe” di nascosto, non le fa. Queste soluzioni tecniche sono tipiche di aziende e marchi che hanno solo un obiettivo: vendere a ogni costo, fare fatturato senza guardare in faccia a nessuno. Quando dovete scegliere una bici, affidatevi a chi ha esperienza e coscienza.

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    1 Earth Method Observations and Modeling Group, Water Desalination and Reuse Center, King Abdullah University of Science and Technological innovation, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia
    two Department of Geography, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt
    3 Division of Physical Sciences and Engineering, King Abdullah University of Science and Know-how, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia
    An automated version within the Lamb weather type classification scheme was employed to characterize daily circulation conditions in Saudi Arabia from 1960 to 2005. Daily gridded fields of sea stage pressure (SLP) from each the NCEP/NCAR as well as the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) reanalysis details (ERA40) had been put to use as enter details for this classification. The output catalog included ten essential varieties, which describe the direction and vorticity of airflow on the region (i.e. cyclonic, anti-cyclonic, and directional). In general, our findings indicate that cyclonic (C) days represent by far the most frequent type among all days, with 69.2% with the once-a-year count of days from 1960 to 2005, followed by SE directional flows (21%). It was also determined that airflows originating from the Indian Ocean (i.e. S, SE, and E) are extra frequent than those from the Mediterranean and Red Seas (i.e. W, NW, and SW). The defined weather forms were being assessed to the presence of inter-annual and intra-annual trends utilizing the Mann–Kendall tau statistic. The trend analysis suggests statistically significant changes during the frequencies of the majority belonging to the weather varieties from 1960 to 2005. The relationship among the daily occurrence of rainfall and then the frequency of individual weather varieties was also described employing daily rainfall facts from the community of 87 weather observatories. Outcome demonstrate that increasing frequencies of weather sorts connected to easterly inflows help higher precipitation quantities over the study domain. Characterizing the association relating to atmospheric circulation patterns and rainfall in Saudi Arabia is important for understanding potential impacts related to climate variability and also for developing circulation-based downscaling methods.
    Introduction
    Atmospheric circulations engage in a critical role around the Earth's climate strategy and considerably better understanding their links and interactions delivers a capacity for assessing regional climate variability, improving characterization of land-atmosphere connections and facilitating new insights into potential impacts of climate changes. In recent years, there may be a growing interest in studying the influence of atmospheric circulations over the surface climate, by using a watch to enhancing our understanding of dynamic meteorological processes, these kinds of as extreme weather events (Vicente-Serrano and López-Moreno, 2006 ; de Vries et al. less than assess). Many studies have sought to make available evidence around the relationships around atmospheric circulation and inter-annual climate fluctuations on different spatial scales, this includes hemispheric (e.g. Hurrell and Deser, 2009 ), continental (e.g. Clark and Brown, 2013 ; Hoy et al. 2014 ), regional (e.g. Park and Ahn, 2014 ), and sub-regional (e.g. López-Moreno and Vicente-Serrano, 2007 ). Furthermore, viable changes inside the recurrence of linked climate variables is generally obtained by projecting changes while in the probability of occurrence of atmospheric regimes (Goodess and Palutikof, 1998 ). Indeed, atmospheric circulations have steadily and increasingly been useful for enhancing short-term forecasting of quite a few meteorological variables. In downscaling studies, circulation characteristics may be used as predictors for regional and local climates (Goodess and Palutikof, 1998 ; Buchanan et al. 2002 ).
    Atmospheric processes are very likely to be reflected from the underlying weather styles. For example, anti-cyclonic patterns are typically associated with dry conditions and clear skies. For this reason, efforts have been directed over the last handful of decades to build schemes that categorize atmospheric circulations into distinct weather variations (Huth et al. 2008 ). The aim of these approaches is to describe the local/regional pressure characteristics, so that every weather type features a straight forward configuration of the a number of weather conditions. With this regard, although the successes from weather type schemes can vary along prolonged time intervals and in regions with unique climate characteristics, possibly due to the pre-processing procedures these kinds of as choice of a “best” classification scheme, similarity operate and amount of final variations, nearly all authors have found that describing climate variability by would mean of weather kinds is advantageous, compared to employing circulation indices (e.g. Huth et al. 2008 ; Jacobeit et al. 2009 ). This would most likely be as large-scale climate indices (e.g. NAO and ENSO indices) generally focus on just a small number of atmospheric modes (i.e. positive, neutral and negative), whereas circulation classifications can explain a larger selection of climate behavior and variability, particularly at a whole lot more regional scale.
    Generally, weather type classification methods are usually classified into two broad groups: statistically-based methods and automated methods. A detailed discussion in the features and disadvantages of both of those methods is found in Frakes and Yarnal (1997). Overall, the number one group relies on statistical techniques for classification, which include among others, principal factors analysis (Esteban et al. 2005 ), canonical correlation analysis (Xoplaki et al. 2003 ), and cluster analysis (Littmann, 2000 ). For example, Alpert et al. (2004) applied a discriminant-based analysis to classify synoptic conditions over the eastern Mediterranean by using NCEP information for 1948–2000. Automated classification approaches, about the other hand, often employ current circulation-type catalogs, this kind of because the Lamb weather styles (Lamb, 1972 ), the Muller classification (Muller, 1977 ), or the Grosswetterlagen catalog (Hess and Brezowsky, 1977 ). Whereas statistically-based approaches may result in a number of courses and subgroups, weather patterns tend to be assigned into a targeted quantity of sorts in automated classification schemes (Linderson, 2001 ; Goodess and Jones, 2002 ).
    Saudi Arabia is defined as a “typical” arid region (BWh with the Köppen classification, 1936 ). Nonetheless, it can occasionally be subjected to severe weather phenomena (Deng et al. less than study). Even while rainfall events are infrequent and occasional, intense storms can lead to severe flash-floods, with consequences on infrastructure, property and human settlements. Despite the obvious necessity of studying synoptic-scale atmospheric situations responsible for this kind of events, the atmospheric configurations related to these are generally poorly explained. In contrast to countless regions, the links in between atmospheric circulation and precipitation on the Middle East and North Africa (like Saudi Arabia) have received minor attention, with regional studies mostly devoted to the Mediterranean countries within the region [e.g. Morocco (Lamb and Peppler, 1987 ), Turkey (Türkeş and Erlat, 2005 ), and Israel (Black, 2012 ) or the Mediterranean mountains (López-Moreno et al. 2011 )]. Just one potential explanation for this deficit is the lack of the finished, reliable and homogenized dataset of rainfall, that also gives you a reasonable spatial coverage. Those studies that have sought to describe the spatial patterns of climate in Saudi Arabia have generally relied with a very restricted variety of observatories of short duration (e.g. Ahmed, 1997 ; Abdullah and Almazroui, 1998 ; Rehman, 2010 ; Almazroui et al. 2012 ). Among these, Ahmed (1997) employed factor analysis to classify Saudi Arabia into distinct climate regions, by using 14 climate variables from the spatially restricted knowledge established. Even more lately, Almazroui et al. (2012) assessed the observed once-a-year rainfall over Saudi Arabia from 1978 to 2009, by means of daily records from 27 observatories. Inside the same context, there have been confined attempts at classification for the main synoptic forms over the region, which will be indirectly linked to regional rainfall patterns. Earlier weather type classifications over the Middle East were being restricted to the east Mediterranean (e.g. Alpert et al. 2004 ; Tsvieli and Zangvil, 2005 ).
    Assessing the spatial and temporal characteristics of weather sorts in Saudi Arabia is important for two reasons. Earliest, it can enhance our understanding within the practical influences of climate change and variability on atmospheric circulation in the local scale. For instance, as flood events in Saudi Arabia are associated with short duration extreme rainfall, classifying synoptic conditions with a daily basis could possibly be beneficial to improve our understanding of these events and to interpret the physical processes behind them. Second, it is anticipated that large-scale weather patterns are probable to respond to climate changes, particularly in terms of changes in their frequency of occurrence and variability in area and time. As this sort of, characterizing weather sorts may furnish insights into the statistical association involving the occurrence of specified weather regimes and rainfall response. This dependency is crucial when examining climate product simulations, as relationships developed by means of observation dependent details sets may be used in evaluation and subsequent forecasting of anticipated climate response.
    The main objectives of this job are: (1) to categorize weather sorts in Saudi Arabia on the daily basis by usually means of an automated version of your Lamb weather sorts classification; and (two) to establish a link involving weather regimes plus the occurrence of wet events inside of the region during rainy seasons (winter and spring). Apart from providing a description of hydro-climatological interactions around the region, this do the job represents the primary attempt to classify multi-decadal circulation patterns inside of the region. Thus, this study may produce new insights into the main characteristics of weather kinds and their linkage with rainfall regimes in Saudi Arabia and also broader region.
    Study Area
    Saudi Arabia is located in southwestern Asia around latitudes of 15°22′ N and 32°09′ N and longitudes of 34°50′ E and 55°50′ E. It has an area of approximately two.twenty five million km two and occupies round 80% within the Arabian Peninsula. As proven in Figure 1. it is bounded by the Red Sea to the west, the Arab Sea inside south along with the Arabian Gulf during the east. The altitude varies from 0 to over 3000 m. Rainfall around the region is characterized by very high spatial and temporal variability, as revealed in Figure two. In general, the once-a-year average rainfall over the whole territory is approximately 114 mm/year. The rainy season extends from late October to April, with two peaks in late spring (March and April) and November. However, heating for the dry interior during the summer months may generate sufficient convection to create cumulus cloud. In rare cases, the Red Sea Trough (RST) extends from East Africa through the Red Sea toward the eastern Mediterranean, allowing to the improvement of formidable depressions over the central Red Sea, which may lead to heavy rainfall (de Vries et al. underneath examine). Spatially, rainfall occurs even more often inside southwestern regions, as orographic uplift significantly enhances rainfall relating to the windward sides of mountain ranges (Najd plateau and Sarawat mountains) along the Red Sea coast (Figure 2B ). The southeastern region (namely the Rub al Khali, or empty quarter) shows the lowest yearly rainfall totals, with almost no precipitation throughout the calendar year.
    Figure 1. Location on the study domain along with the spatial distribution on the meteorological stations together with the 16 grid points (1–16) applied around the automated circulation-typing .
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